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The Ai HypeParadox

3/3/2024

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I am a proponent of artificial intelligence's integration into everything, pushing to the brink.  Ai ἀναρχία. 
​​
By Greg Walters
​​"New paths unfold, yet
Familiar echoes call--
Paradox of time."


Ai Deja Vu?
​
​Similar to the the mainframe to PC movement, the dot com wave, and the social media submersion, Ai is the hot new thing.
But - Ai hype is not new, but like nothing before.

Unlike the previous integrations, which required years and decades to catch up with human needs, the roles are reversed. Humans are catching up with Ai. Put more succinctly,

​"...Ai is a solution is search of a problem...the challenge...a new one, is that every niche, area and segment of human existence is up for grabs...it is a target rich environment..." - GRW
​This can lead to chaos, anarchy and paralysis.

In his Channelnomics,  article Artificial Intelligence Reality Check: Balancing Hype and Potential, Larry states, "...Altman’s $7 trillion vision for artificial intelligence. Achieving a return on such an investment — surpassing the combined GDPs of Italy, Mexico, South Korea, and Poland — would take more than a decade, assuming a total monopoly in the AI market. This is a highly unlikely scenario given the numerous competitors vying for a share of the artificial intelligence market..."
​At Channelnomics, we recognize the significant impact artificial intelligence will have on the technology market, the channel, and everyday life. However, we believe that artificial intelligence’s tangible effects on the market and channel will not be fully realized until around 2026 or 2027." ​
​This prediction or forecast is solid. Larry follows up with, "However, we believe that artificial intelligence’s tangible effects on the market and channel will not be fully realized until around 2026 or 2027..." Again, solid.

Two to three years; 24 to 36 months, which is a solid guesstimate.  

Of course, 24 months on the Ai timeline is different from 24 months on the mainframe to PC timeline.

Here's my point: As the evolution of Ai marches on, the great paradox includes multiple facets: an almost an infinite number of target applications, compound rate of advance, and the folly of envisioning Ai through the lens of yesterday's enterprise(silos, linear progression, Taylorism).  

The AiParadox? We've never been here before yet everything is familiar.

It's a good read, check it out.
"...Ai is a solution is search of a problem...the challenge...a new one, is that every niche, area and segment of human existence is up for grabs...it is a target rich environment..." - GRW

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